Farm-Level Working Capital Planning

This use case explains how to plan farm level working capital needs for agriculture and primary production using Model Reef.

You will:

  • Model seasonal patterns of receipts and payments.

  • Track receivables, payables and inventory like effects.

  • Understand cash draw, repayment and surplus periods.

  • Plan working capital facilities and buffers.

Model Reef is not a banking system. It provides a planning view that connects enterprise forecasts to working capital and funding decisions.

circle-info

Model Reef provides a planning view (not a transaction banking system) that connects enterprise forecasts to working capital and funding decisions.

When to use this pattern

Use this pattern when:

  • Your farm or agribusiness has strong seasonality in cashflows.

  • You use overdrafts, trade finance or supplier credit.

  • You need to understand cash peaks and troughs across seasons and years.

  • You want to connect enterprise level plans to funding requirements.

It is usually built on top of:

  • Crop Yield Forecasts

  • Livestock Production Modelling

  • Seasonality and Commodity Pricing

Architecture overview

Farm level working capital planning uses:

  • Enterprise cashflows

    • Revenue timing from crop and livestock sales.

    • Input, labour and overhead spend timing.

  • Working capital drivers

    • Debtor days for customers or buyers.

    • Creditor days for suppliers.

    • Inventory like behaviour for stored product.

  • Facilities and funding

    • Overdrafts or seasonal working capital facilities.

    • Term debt that interacts with cashflows.

    • Equity contributions or drawings.

  • Reporting

    • Cashflow Statement and Cash Waterfall.

    • Cash balance, headroom and covenant metrics.

1

Ensure enterprise models have realistic timing

First, ensure crop and livestock models apply realistic timing settings for:

  • When revenue is recognised versus when cash arrives.

  • When inputs, feed and labour are paid for.

  • When storage, freight and other costs fall in the calendar.

This timing will automatically create receivables and payables in the Balance Sheet and drive working capital needs.

2

Define working capital drivers explicitly

In the Data Library, create drivers such as:

  • Debtor Days for major buyer segments.

  • Creditor Days for key suppliers.

  • Average Storage Period before sale.

  • Target Cash Buffer (for example minimum days of cash).

If you want to approximate inventory, you can:

  • Use Asset variables to represent Inventory - Grain or Inventory - Livestock with inflows from production and outflows to sales.

  • Use Liability variables for deferred payments or advances.

These variables will interact with revenue and cost timing to shape working capital.

3

Add working capital facilities

Create Liability variables for working capital facilities, for example:

  • Debt - Overdraft Facility.

  • Debt - Seasonal Working Capital Line.

Decide on a representation:

  • Simple planning: represent these as interest only facilities with balances that you set via drivers or scenarios.

  • More detailed: link facility drawdowns and repayments to cash balance thresholds using manual schedules or scenario specific assumptions.

Set interest rates and payment timing so that:

  • Interest expense appears in P&L.

  • Cashflow Statement and Cash Waterfall show draw and repay movements.

  • Balance Sheet reflects facility balances at each period end.

4

Build cash and headroom dashboards

Create dashboards focused on working capital, including:

  • Cash balance over time at farm and group level.

  • Net cash including overdrafts and working capital lines.

  • Highest and lowest cash points per season or year.

  • Utilisation of facilities versus limits.

  • Simple covenant or threshold metrics, such as minimum cash days or maximum facility utilisation percentage.

Use these views to identify:

  • Periods where additional funding or cost deferral may be required.

  • Opportunities to deploy surplus cash to capex or debt reduction.

  • The effect of operating changes on working capital needs.

5

Use scenarios for seasonal and funding risk

Clone the model into scenario models for:

  • Adverse seasons with lower yields or prices and similar fixed costs.

  • Favourable seasons with strong production and prices.

  • Changes in payment terms with buyers or suppliers.

  • Changes in facility limits, interest rates or availability.

In each scenario, adjust:

  • Enterprise production and price assumptions.

  • Debtor and creditor day drivers.

  • Facility limit and pricing assumptions.

  • Any planned capex or equity movements.

Compare scenarios using:

  • Cash balance and facility utilisation patterns.

  • Periods where facilities are fully drawn or breached.

  • Sensitivity of working capital to key drivers.

  • Implications for discussions with lenders and investors.

6

Integrate with whole farm and group planning

Because working capital facilities and drivers operate at farm and group branches:

  • Farm level reports show cash and facility needs per farm.

  • Group level reports show aggregate requirements and headroom.

  • Boards, investors and banks can see a coherent picture from enterprise forecasts through to funding needs.

You can also connect working capital planning to:

  • Capex and expansion decisions.

  • Risk management and hedging choices.

  • Long term strategy for gearing and resilience.

Check your work

circle-info
  • Debtor and creditor day assumptions reflect actual terms and behaviour.

  • Cashflow patterns make sense when compared to bank statements or historical cashflow summaries.

  • Facility limits and terms align with actual banking arrangements.

  • Scenario outputs line up with management experience of stress and recovery periods.

Troubleshooting

chevron-rightModel shows more cash than expected in busy seasonshashtag

Revisit timing of input costs and ensure that you have not used overly optimistic creditor days.

chevron-rightFacilities appear insufficient or excessivehashtag

Adjust facility limit drivers based on scenario analysis and consider different strategies for drawdowns and repayments.

chevron-rightDifficult to trace working capital effects back to enterpriseshashtag

Use reports and dashboards that show enterprise level cash contributions alongside facility utilisation and changes in receivables and payables.

Last updated