Viewing Scenario Differences

This article explains how to view scenario differences in Model Reef.

You will learn:

  • How to compare separate scenario models.

  • Which outputs are most useful for understanding differences.

  • How to connect differences back to variables and drivers.

Because scenarios are separate models, you compare them by comparing their outputs side by side.

1

Comparing scenarios through dashboards and reports

To compare scenarios:

  • Open the Base scenario model and view its dashboards and key reports.

  • Open the Upside or Downside scenario model in another tab or window.

  • Align the period selection and branch filters across models.

  • Compare P&L, Balance Sheet, Cashflow, Cash Waterfall and valuation outputs.

Structurally identical dashboards and reports make differences easy to see.

2

Maintaining consistent structure across scenarios

Scenario comparison works best when each scenario model shares:

  • The same branch hierarchy.

  • The same variable naming and categories.

  • The same dashboard and report layouts.

When cloning a base model to create new scenarios, keep this structure intact so that line-by-line comparisons make sense.

3

Key comparison views

Useful scenario comparison views include:

  • Revenue, Gross Profit and EBITDA paths over time.

  • Cash position, funding headroom and covenant metrics.

  • Net debt and leverage.

  • Free cashflow, valuation metrics and returns.

  • Branch or division level profitability.

For each view, check both level differences (how big) and timing differences (when).

4

Linking differences back to assumptions

To understand why scenarios differ:

  • Identify the largest differences in key metrics or charts.

  • Use drilldown to see which variables and categories drive those lines.

  • Inspect the corresponding variables or drivers in each scenario model.

  • Review notes and tags on variables and drivers that were intentionally overridden.

Often a small set of assumption changes explains most of the difference between scenarios.

5

Communicating scenario differences

When communicating to stakeholders:

  • Name scenarios clearly (Base, Downside, Upside, Stress).

  • Summarise the main assumption changes, not every small adjustment.

  • Focus on differences in cash, risk and value rather than every line item.

  • Support headline comparisons with drilldown where necessary.

Model Reef provides the structural consistency so that differences you discuss are driven by assumptions rather than presentation.


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